The KATOH projection system uses a minor leaguer’s performance to estimate the likelihood that he’ll achieve certain major league outcomes.

***Chris’ most recent KATOH releases and analyses can be found in his Fangraphs’ author archive.***

Initial KATOH release: Probability of hitters making the Majors

• Triple-A
• Double-A
• High-A
• Low-A
• Short-Season-A
• Rookie Ball

Other KATOH:

• The Yankees’ biggest prospect flops, featuring Nick Johnson
• The Yankees’ biggest prospect flops, featuring Ricky Ledee
• Applying KATOH to Historical Prospects
• How telling are teenager’s A-ball stats?